Bonds / Tail-End Plays Bot
Automated market making for low-probability prediction markets on Polymarket
Bot Status
Tradingenabled
Strategytail_end_maker
Active Markets3
Total P&L+$30.12
Win Rate72.5%
Last Update12:30:24 PM
Selected Market
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by Dec 2026?
YES Price
3.1¢
NO Price
96.9¢
PnL
Market PnL
+$24.76
YES Position
Shares125.5
Avg Price3.12¢
PnL+$83.77
NO Position
Shares89.2
Avg Price96.88¢
PnL$-59.01
USDC Balance$8.35
Net Exposure+36.3 shares
Recent Trades
Waiting for trades...
Active Markets
3 MarketsWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by Dec 2026?
activeYES:3.1¢
NO:96.9¢
PnL:+$24.76
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by Dec 2026?
activeYES:3.8¢
NO:96.2¢
PnL:+$9.64
Will Solana reach $400 by Q2 2026?
activeYES:2.5¢
NO:97.5¢
PnL:$-4.28
How Bonds / Tail-End Plays Work
Near-Resolution Arbitrage
This strategy scans Polymarket for markets that are nearly resolved - where the event has already occurred but official resolution is still pending. The winning outcome's shares often trade at 97-99¢ instead of $1.00 due to trader impatience or liquidity constraints. We buy these discounted shares and hold until resolution for a 1-3% low-risk return.
Strategy: Buy Discounted Winners
- 1.Scan for markets where the outcome is known but not yet officially resolved
- 2.Find winning shares trading at 97-99¢ (discount due to impatience)
- 3.Buy discounted shares and hold until resolution
- 4.Collect $1.00 per share at settlement
Why Discounts Exist
- ●Impatience: Traders want capital back immediately, willing to sell at 97-99¢
- ●Liquidity: Large holders can't wait for resolution, need to exit now
- ●Time Value: Resolution may take hours/days, discount reflects opportunity cost
Example Trade
| Market | Status | Buy Price | Resolution | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC > $89k on Jan 24? | Event occurred, pending resolution | 97.5¢ | $1.00 | +2.5% |
With $10,000 invested at 97.5¢, we receive $10,256 at resolution = $256 profit in hours/days.
Very Low
Risk Level
20-40%
Target APY
1-3%
Per Trade Return
Bot running · Strategy: tail_end_maker · 3 active markets · Last update: 12:30:24 PM